The Denuclearization of North Korea: The Agreed Framework and Alternative Options Analyzed FROM THE PUBLISHER
The denuclearization of North Korea, a formalized policy
objective of the United States since the signing of the 1994 Agreed Framework,
is the singularly most important objective of Washington regarding
Pyongyang.
The Agreed Framework is an accord that provides North Korea two light-water
reactors in exchange for the elimination of its capabilities to produce
nuclear weapons. However, many debates have arisen over the soundness of this
policy option.
The purpose of this study is to assess four different policy options for
achieving the permanent or long-term denuclearization of North Korea: (1) the
Agreed Framework, (2) the Amended Framework Option, (3) the Comprehensive
Framework Option, and (4) the Coercive Denuclearization Option.
The analysis of the Agreed Framework centers on obstacles that might prohibit
its completion. The analysis of the Amended Framework focuses on North Korea's
inability to distribute the energy that the LWRs will produce. The
Comprehensive Framework analyzes the effects of the United States attaching
additional conditions to the Agreed Framework. Lastly the, Coercive
Denuclearization Option analyzes whether or not preemptive
counterproliferation could force North Korea to abandon its nuclear weapons
program.
The conclusion suggests that none of the evaluated policy options will lead to
the denuclearization of North Korea.
FROM THE CRITICS
Ezra Vogel - Professor, Harvard University
Minnich does a thorough professional job of putting on the table the key issues on one of the most important issues facing the United States, how to deal with the issues of proliferation of weapons of mass destruction to countries like Iraq, Iran, and North Korea. The issue is likely to be central to American policy making for months and more likely years into the future.
Ashton B. Carter - Professor, Harvard University, former Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Policy
A thoughtful analysis of a dangerous problem.
Lester W. Grau - Foreign Military Studies Office
An excellent work. Students of the area, policy experts and military officers will be well-served by this timely book.
Andrew Scobell - Professor of National Security Affairs, United State Army War College
This is an important book on a critical subject. The details and background of ongoing American efforts to denuclearize North Korea are not well understood by many Americans-or by many Koreans for that matter. The conclusions are indeed sobering but the ones that policymakers in capitals around the world need to face up to.