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Curveball: Baseball, Statistics and the Role of Chance in the Game

AUTHOR: Jim Albert
ISBN: 038700193X

SHORT DESCRIPTION: Updated with data from the 2002 season, and with new essays on superstar Barry Bonds and the first ever all-Wild-Card World Series, this new paperback edition of the 2001 SABR-Award-winning original hardcover explains why standard statistics are...

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         Editorial Review

Curveball: Baseball, Statistics and the Role of Chance in the Game
- Book Review,
by Jim Albert


From Publishers Weekly
Baseball fans love statistics. Box scores, batting averages and pitching records are published on the backs of baseball cards and in books, revised daily on Web sites and newspapers and quoted easily and authoritatively by sportscasters and in casual conversation. But how to make sense of all this information? Curveball: Baseball, Statistics, and the Role of Chance in the Game by Jim Albert, professor of mathematics and statistics at Bowling Green State University, and Jay Bennett, principal scientist with Telecordia Technologies both former chairs of the sports section of the American Statistical Association and lifelong Philadelphia Phillies fans has 273 scary-looking charts and tables (and some bothersome formulas), but will be welcomed by many fans seeking to better understand the numbers. Copyright 2001 Cahners Business Information, Inc.


From Library Journal
Baseball is a fascinating game for the statistical analyst. On the surface it appears so simple and limited. But the more closely one studies the game, the more, it seems, there is to know. The coauthors are both former chairs of the American Statistical Association Section on Statistics in Sports and fans of the Philadelphia Phillies. Though there are many other books about baseball statistics, these authors are particularly sophisticated statisticians. As they illuminate baseball, they demonstrate the power of college-level statistics to interpret the numbers. Starting with simplified board game simulations, the authors show how to model player performance or predict game outcomes. Then they use actual statistics to make the models more complex and true to life. Part of the fun is that statistical results can be counterintuitive. Does the best team always win the World Series? Not necessarily. No matter how talented other teams are, the element of chance means that Phillies fans can still hope for victory. Recommended for public and academic libraries, especially in cities with a major league baseball team. Amy Brunvand, Univ. of Utah Lib., Salt Lake City Copyright 2001 Reed Business Information, Inc.


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         Book Review

Curveball: Baseball, Statistics and the Role of Chance in the Game
- Book Reviews,
by Jim Albert

Curveball: Baseball, Statistics and the Role of Chance in the Game

FROM THE PUBLISHER

Updated with data from the 2002 season, and with new essays on superstar Barry Bonds and the first ever all-Wild-Card World Series, this new paperback edition of the 2001 SABR-Award-winning original hardcover explains why standard statistics are of limited usefulness in evaluating a player, developing an inning-by-inning strategy, or predicting which team will come out on top.

The authors' most significant contribution to the seemingly endless arguments about baseball stats is their inclusion of the statistical principles of probability to analyze the game and the players. Albert and Bennett come to some original and surprising conclusions. It turns out, for example, that the phenomenon of "streakiness" (a hot hand, a hot bat) is measurable and can serve as a very useful predictor of performance. Conversely, they find that a lot of situational statistics (home vs. away games, play on artificial turf vs. grass) are, statistically speaking, little more than "noise." And, in news that will bring consolation to Yankees fans, they declare that it's not always the best team that wins the World Series. Keeping their discussion at a broadly accessible mathematical level -- a high school math education is all that is needed to follow their arguments -- the authors bring a new level of sophistication to statistical analysis of our national pastime.

FROM THE CRITICS

The Wall Street Journal

Smart and energetic . . . hardcore fans will find its mission refreshing. Curve Ball doesn't pay the usual misty-eyed homage to baseball's traditions and conventional wisdom. Rather it tests whether baseball's accepted measurements stand up to scrutiny. . . . This is great stuff. . . . Curve Ball makes clear how pleasurable [stats] can be, and arguably how important, to view the great American game with real precision.


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